
Alright friendo, here are my Oscar picks. Feel free to use them in your pools, but don't get pissed at me if you lose. I am guessing on some of the extremely minor categories -- which I still say should not be a part of the telecast, since no one watching has ever seen any of the nominated...shorts, for example. Agree? Disagree? Want to tell me some more about how I "don't get" the "deep," "profound" "masterpiece" There Will Be Blood? That's what the comments are for. Good luck!
BEST PICTURE
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
The Departed win last year shows the Oscars are willing to embrace the dark and violent. And for the second year in a row, the film that is actually the best picture will win Best Picture. Imagine that.
BEST DIRECTOR
Will Win: Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Should Win: Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Don't even see this as a contest, really.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Will Win: Diablo Cody, Juno
Should Win: Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Diablo Cody is the story of the year! Who knows what outrageous thing she'll say up at the podium!?!? She's so deliciously witty and edgy! Give me a break. Juno will win because it's the most obviously written of the nominees, and that should be what puts it in fifth place. Excuse me, fourth place. What the fuck is Ratatouille doing here?
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will Win: Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Should Win: Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Again, not even a contest.
BEST ACTOR
Will Win: Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Should Win: Tommy Lee Jones, In the Valley of Elah
Day-Lewis' effective but overrated work in an effective but overrated film is a guaranteed win. It's the kind of sceaming, nearly hammy performance that Oscar will always reward over quieter, more internal work like Jones' -- who gave the best performance of the year and of his career in Elah.
BEST ACTRESS
Will Win: Julie Christie, Away From Her
Should Win: Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
I didn't find Christie to be anything special in Away From Her, one of the most depressing movies of the year. But she's old, and will win. Cotillard gave a great performance in the agonizingly dull French film Rose, but the movie is...French. And agonizingly dull.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will Win: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Should Win: Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
A very strong category, I'd be okay with any of the nominees and certainly Hal Holbrook taking the prize. Holbrook may upset -- he made me cry...and is very old. But Bardem is a villain for the ages.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Will Win: Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Should Win: Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton
This is a far stronger category than Best Actress, and I'd be happy with either Ryan or Swinton. For me, though, Swinton gave the best performance in Michael Clayton, and the best female performance of the year. If Blanchett wins for her adequate Bob Dylan impression, Ruby Dee wins for being black and on the verge of death, or Saoirse Ronan wins for being young and British, I'll throw something.
BEST ART DIRECTION
Will Win: Sweeney Todd
Should Win: Sweeney Todd
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Will Win: There Will Be Blood
Should Win: The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
A win for Jesse James should be a no-brainer, but I strongly doubt its chances.
BEST FILM EDITING
Will Win: No Country for Old Men
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Will Win: Atonement
Should Win: Atonement
That shit with the typewriters was the only fresh thing I heard this year, movie-musicwise.
BEST ORIGINAL SONG
Will Win: "Falling Slowly," Once
Should Win: "Falling Slowly," Once
Three songs from Enchanted? Really? Hum one for me. That's what I thought.
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Will Win: No End in Sight
Should Win: Sicko
Here's the difference -- the slobbered-over No End in Sight presented facts that anyone who follows the news should already know, in a dry and talky manner. Sicko shook me up, moved me, told me a lot of things I didn't know, took an active stance, and left me wanting to make a change. It won't win, because people hate Michael Moore.
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT
Will Win: Freeheld
Should Win: Haven't seen any of these.
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Will Win: The Counterfeiters
Should Win: Haven't seen any of these, and I see a fair amount of foreign movies. The Academy always screws up royally on this category with all their rules. But The Counterfeiters is Holocausty, and will therefore win.
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Will Win: Ratatouille
Should Win: Persepolis
Just so we're clear -- Ratatouille is about the ghost of an obese chef, who recruits a rat to cook in his restaurant. Then the rat sits on a teenager's head and guides him through cooking delicious meals by pulling on his hair. This is the movie everyone thinks is so amazing? We saw the same thing? Okay. Just making sure.
BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Will Win: I Met the Walrus
Should Win: Haven't seen any of these.
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT
Will Win: At Night
Should Win: Haven't seen any of these.
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Will Win: Atonement
Should Win: Atonement
BEST MAKEUP
Will Win: La Vie en Rose
Should Win: Norbit
You know you want to hear the words "Academy Award winner Norbit." And for serious -- it's the best makeup of these choices. Won't happen, though.
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Will Win: Transformers
Should Win: Transformers
BEST SOUND MIXING
Will Win: Transformers
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
BEST SOUND EDITING
Will Win: Transformers
Should Win: No Country for Old Men
i just watched Ratatouille after having no interest in seeing it. I was
surprised that I liked it so much. Rats in a restaurant... peace on
earth.... that's what it's about.
Sorry you didn't "get" Ratoutille. Makes me think I shouldn't have passed
on the opportunity to see There Will Be Blood.
Not a bad list, although as someone who counted Ratatouille, Juno and There
Will Be Blood among his top ten favorite movies of the year, I think you're
being a bit harsh on them. This reads a lot like The Hater from the Onion
A.V. Club, actually, and we all know what a barrel of laughs she is.
First, I'd like to challenge you contention that "you are not retarded."
Who are you fooling? All joking aside, do you think the overpraise for
There Will Be Blood has spawned resentment that prevents you from being
objective? That certainly happened to me with American Beauty way back
when.
I have not seen No Country for Old Men, but I trust your judgment
that it's a better movie. I did see There Will Be Blood, however, and I
thought it was better than you (apparently) give it credit for. That said,
I'd agree it's not a ground-breaking masterpiece.
John
Nice picks Pat, we were pretty much the same except on shorts and sound
editing, although I think you enjoyed Atonement and Michael Clayton far
more than myself. Blood was good but overrated, No Country however was
phenomenal
Just for fun, I changed all of my picks to your own for my
PredictTheOscars.com pool this year (you should do it yourself next year).
Know that I say the following without resentment or really care of any
kind, and that I take full responsibility for having done what I did, and
that it was merely an experiment, and the prizes from that site for winning
are probably not that good anyway, and even if they were I wouldn't care as
I do it mostly for fun, but before I changed my answers to yours, I had
correctly picked best short film (animated), best short film (live action),
best makeup, and best actress.
I think you took my Ratoutille comment too harshly, as it was mostly a joke
in response to the vitriol directed at you by your lukewarm response to
TWBB.
Hey Erik, "Vitriol." Isn't that a pill women take for cramps? Never makes
you drowsy, never makes your urine stink: it's Vitriol!
FUCKING Transformers. You couldn't take home fucking Sound Mixing? Killed
my Oscar pool. More than meets the eye, my wrinkly nutsack.
I no can like this lack of posting....you are officially too busy!
Pat,
I went to see "No Country For Old Men" on Saturday, 1 March at the theater
in Jerseyville (hick town). When it ended, there was complete silence in
the theater. Nobody moved to stand up. Nobody was clapping. Just a
couple hundred heads frozen in a blank stare at the black screen as credits
rolled. Finally, after about 8 seconds (which is a long time for crowd to
sit still) somebody shouted, "What!?". At this, the entire theater erupted
in various displays of disgust and disappointment. I thought they were
gonna raid the box office and demand refunds.
Rick B-